Sunday, November 20, 2016

Decision Making - Risk Taking

The decision making process depends and gets affected by multiple factors, those factors could be time pressure, risk taking, complexity, expertise, external context, technology, motivation and so forth. Usually if we are under pressure, our ability to make decisions is examined, we might not make the same decision if we are relaxed or have enough time to analyze the options. As well the surrounding environment affects the decision-making process, interaction with people and technology have a big effect on it, level of experience and age both influence the level of knowledge and confidence which affects decision making as well. People personality, our propensity to assume of avoid risk has a big impact of the decision making process.

The key difference between being a risk taker (seeker) or risk averse relies on the personality of the person, who is willing to tradeoff return for risk or vise versa. Some people love risk (risk seekers), others are risk averse (prefer situation with less risk), studies showed that most people are risk averse, in the meaning of, if we have to choose between two options were both have the same outcome but varies in risk level, we tend to go for the option with less risk (March & Shapira, 1987). Risk averse decision makers favor low risks and are likely to to sacrifice certain predictable return in order to reduce the variation in possible outcomes (March & Shapira, 1987). So, from the definition, we see that when considering risk factor only, what really affects the decision making process is the expected return. Attitude toward risk is an unchanging feature of the personality of an individual, but factors like mood, feeling and the way the problems are fit, affects the risk preference.

Because information and communication technology allows faster information collection, decision-making process for managers will be faster, but it won’t affect the personality of the manager being risk averse or risk taker. In other words, instead of consuming a lot f time fetching for information to comfort decision making process, the information technology will make the required information available in shorter period of time, based on that the decision making process will be faster, still this speed in which the information became available will not change his decision nor his risk preference.

For example, if an investment manager in an organization, wants to invest in a listed company in the stock market, he will be able to gather all required information about the company from the company’s website, stock market website and financial news online, in addition to that he doesn’t need to do the financial analysis manually, The technology will make the information gathering process faster and much easier, and the tools will give him and accurate analysis faster, and therefore the decision making process will be faster. However, the technology, didn’t change his personality nor his decision.

Reference:

Heath A. Demaree, Michael A. DeDonno, Kevin J. Burns, D. Erik Everhart, You bet: How personality differences affect risk-taking preferences, Personality and Individual Differences, Volume 44, Issue 7, May 2008, Pages 1484-1494, ISSN 0191-8869, DOI: 10.1016/j.paid.2008.01.005. [Online], Available from:
(Accessed 13 May 2011)

March, J. & Shapira, Z., (1987), ‘Managerial Perspectives on Risk and Risk Taking’, Management Science, Vol. 33, No. 11 (Nov., 1987), pp. 1404-1418, Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2631920, [Online], Available from: https://hec.unil.ch/docs/files/83/655/march_shapira_1987_managerial_perspectives_on_risk_and_risk_taking.pdf
(Accessed 13 May 2011)

Nicholson, N. el al., (n.d), ‘Risk Propensity and Personality’, [Online], Available from:
(Accessed 13 May 2011)


Steve Williams, Mohamed Zainuba, Robert Jackson, (2003) "Affective influences on risk perceptions and risk intention", Journal of Managerial Psychology, Vol. 18 Iss: 2, pp.126 – 137, [Online], Available from:
(Accessed 13 May 2011)



No comments:

Post a Comment